Fresh prompt pack

Macro Regime Watch: 10 AI prompts for macro research

A pack for converting macro signals into structured research tasks and portfolio questions.

Added August 27, 2026 10 copy-ready prompts Library-matched

Copy-ready prompts from Macro Regime Watch

Rate Path Scenario Brief

Beginner

Translates central bank expectations into practical scenarios for equities, bonds, cash, and risk assets.

ID 421
Create a rate-path scenario brief for United States using dated central-bank and market data. Compare faster cuts, higher-for-longer policy, and renewed hikes. Explain conditional effects on equities, bond duration, cash yields, credit spreads, currencies, and risk appetite, and identify what may already be priced in.

Inflation Regime Checklist

Beginner

Checks whether inflation is cooling, sticky, or re-accelerating and what data could confirm it.

ID 422
Build an inflation-regime checklist using current official data. Track headline, core, services, wages, housing, energy, food, expectations, and import prices. Give sources, dates, revisions, and base effects, then explain what combination of evidence may indicate disinflation, persistence, or reacceleration.

Fiscal Impulse Tracker

Medium

Turns government spending, deficits, debt issuance, and stimulus into portfolio-relevant questions.

ID 423
Analyze the fiscal impulse for United States using current official budgets and execution data. Review the deficit, debt issuance, spending composition, tax changes, subsidies, and transfers. Separate announced policy from implementation and explain conditional effects on growth, inflation, bond yields, currencies, and sectors.

Credit and Liquidity Stress Map

Medium

Maps whether financial conditions are supportive or starting to tighten beneath the surface.

ID 424
Create a credit and liquidity stress map using dated primary-source data. Include credit spreads, bank lending standards, delinquencies, funding markets, money-market flows, sovereign-bond liquidity, repo conditions, volatility, and forced-selling indicators. Distinguish normal variation from corroborated stress and explain limitations.

Dollar and Currency Pressure Review

Medium

Explains how dollar strength or weakness can affect global equities, commodities, EM assets, and crypto.

ID 425
Review the U.S. dollar trend using dated market and macro data. Explain conditional channels to global equities, emerging markets, commodities, inflation, corporate earnings, funding stress, and crypto liquidity. Separate correlation from causation and list confirmation and invalidation signals.

Oil and Energy Shock Scenario

Medium

Tests portfolio sensitivity to energy price spikes, supply shocks, and geopolitical disruptions.

ID 426
Build an energy-shock scenario for my portfolio portfolio summary. Use explicit oil-price ranges and horizons for a spike, sustained elevation, and normalization. Explain conditional first- and second-order effects on inflation, policy, consumers, margins, transport, energy equities, bonds, and risk appetite without presenting the ranges as forecasts.

Central Bank Divergence Matrix

Medium

Compares how different central banks can create currency, bond, and equity divergence.

ID 427
Create a central-bank divergence matrix using the latest official decisions and forecasts for the Fed, ECB, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, and relevant emerging-market central banks. State source dates and compare policy direction, inflation, growth risk, currencies, and conditional allocation implications.

Macro-to-Portfolio Translation

Pro

Turns macro observations into asset-allocation questions without making a single-point forecast.

ID 428
Translate this macro view macro view into portfolio-review questions. Cover equities, bonds, cash, commodities, crypto, sectors, duration, currencies, and risk budget. For each option, state assumptions, trade-offs, risks, and evidence that would change the plan rather than issuing a personalized trade instruction.

Policy Surprise Playbook

Pro

Prepares a response framework for unexpected central bank, fiscal, tariff, or geopolitical policy shocks.

ID 429
Create a policy-surprise playbook for my portfolio. Cover unexpected rate decisions, fiscal changes, tariffs, sanctions, capital controls, energy disruptions, and emergency liquidity actions. For each, map plausible first- and second-order effects, execution and liquidity risks, confirmation signals, invalidations, and actions that require professional review.

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Separate a genuine macro regime shift from market noise

One data release or central-bank comment rarely proves that the macro regime has changed. Use this pack to compare new information with expectations, revisions, policy, liquidity, and market pricing before connecting it to a portfolio view.

  • Choose the economy, analysis date, policy horizon, indicators, affected assets, and the specific decision the research is meant to inform.
  • Compare rates, inflation, growth, labor, credit, fiscal policy, liquidity, currencies, and market breadth with consensus, prior releases, revisions, and historical ranges.
  • Define confirmation, contradiction, and failure signals for each scenario, timestamp every source, and do not treat a single indicator as proof of a durable regime change.